Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.089626 0.103482 0.118773 0.136902 0.157814 0.181187 0.209305
2026-02-08 0.067969 0.086620 0.109301 0.138927 0.176634 0.223072 0.284697
2026-02-15 0.055628 0.075971 0.102453 0.139477 0.189971 0.256547 0.351211
2026-02-22 0.047711 0.068931 0.098126 0.141268 0.203513 0.290271 0.420787
2026-03-01 0.040491 0.061414 0.091608 0.138415 0.209316 0.313006 0.476796
2026-03-08 0.035034 0.055494 0.086310 0.136167 0.215052 0.335486 0.534224
2026-03-15 0.031461 0.051850 0.083779 0.137501 0.225950 0.366403 0.607635
2026-03-22 0.029525 0.050483 0.084511 0.143882 0.245314 0.412372 0.710170
2026-03-29 0.027425 0.048530 0.083976 0.147955 0.261102 0.453928 0.809833
2026-04-05 0.025470 0.046553 0.083106 0.151230 0.275695 0.494752 0.912567
2026-04-12 0.023478 0.044247 0.081359 0.152653 0.286995 0.530764 1.010425
2026-04-19 0.021224 0.041181 0.077878 0.150438 0.291242 0.554263 1.087381
2026-04-26 0.018828 0.037607 0.073136 0.145434 0.289894 0.567667 1.147580
2026-05-03 0.017572 0.036109 0.072172 0.147651 0.302852 0.609855 1.269639
2026-05-10 0.016273 0.034363 0.070509 0.148237 0.312522 0.646463 1.384410
2026-05-17 0.015247 0.033053 0.069562 0.150141 0.325033 0.689994 1.518464
2026-05-24 0.013861 0.030816 0.066455 0.147108 0.326689 0.711025 1.606351
2026-05-31 0.012682 0.028892 0.063792 0.144718 0.329424 0.734531 1.702235
2026-06-07 0.011931 0.027838 0.062896 0.146136 0.340765 0.777958 1.848209
2026-06-14 0.011650 0.027823 0.064294 0.152920 0.365100 0.852998 2.076388
2026-06-21 0.011201 0.027363 0.064629 0.157250 0.384141 0.917862 2.287732
2026-06-28 0.010724 0.026780 0.064614 0.160732 0.401515 0.980597 2.501082
2026-07-05 0.010156 0.025913 0.063832 0.162245 0.414208 1.033396 2.695620